Construction Market Report in Oman
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Construction Market Report” under
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“Oman
Construction market report – key trends and opportunities to 2025”
Highlights:
Oman’s
construction industry has been declining since 2017, with output shrinking by
an annual average rate of 5% from 2017 to 2019. The COVID-19 outbreak
aggravated the weakness in the industry, as it contracted sharply in 2020,
plummeting by an estimated 15.6% in real terms, as the industry struggled with
the challenges that emerged due to the outbreak, including lockdowns, low oil
prices, production cuts owing to OPEC guidelines and the impact of sovereign
credit rating downgrades.
We expects the Omani construction industry to
rebound in 2021, growing by 4.8% in real terms; this recovery is a reflection
of the low base in 2020, however, owing to the depths which the construction
industry fell due to lockdowns and fiscal constraints. In 2022, the industry is
projected to register growth of 3.3%, and then expand by an annual average rate
of 4% over the remainder of the forecast period (2023-2025). The government’s
programs to promote the development of affordable housing, transport and
renewable energy infrastructure are expected to continue to support the
expansion of the industry in the coming years.
Looking further ahead, while Oman continues to
enhance its oil recovery techniques to boost oil production, it will keep
pursuing its diversification plan ‘Vision 2040’, and construction will continue
to be a major contributor to growth in Oman’s non-oil GDP, offering solid
prospects for economic diversification. The prospects for capital expenditure
projects in the tourism and manufacturing sectors as being key to the
construction industry’s recovery; these sectors have been recognized as
long-term drivers of revenue diversification and economic growth for the
Sultanate.
In January 2021, the government launched the
10th five-year development plan 2021-2025, with an aim to diversify the economy
and reduce reliance on oil revenue. Under this, the government plans to
increase the contribution of transformative industries in the country’s total
GDP from 10.8% in 2020 to 12.2% in 2025, the transportation and logistics
sector from 6.4% to 7.5%, the education sector from 4.9% to 6.2%, the tourism
sector from 2.5% to 3%, fisheries wealth from 0.9% to 2% and the mining sector
from 0.5% to 0.7%.
The downside risk associated with the outlook is
the government’s plan to cut public spending to control fiscal deficit. Public
sector spending cuts are the government’s priority in 2021, continuing
throughout the medium term (2022-2024), as outlined in the Medium-Term Fiscal
Plan (MTFP). The fiscal plan is intended to reduce public debt, increase the
state’s reserves, and diversify revenue away from oil. In the 2021 Budget, the
government decreased its total spending by 17.4%, from OMR13.2 billion (US$34.3
billion) in the 2020 Budget to OMR10.9 billion (US$28.3 billion) in the 2021
Budget.
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